Who is Trevor May? Analyzing the pitcher who reportedly agreed to join the New York Mets

New York Mets

According to several outlets, the New York Mets will sign right-handed reliever Trevor May. The money involved in the deal aren’t yet known, but they would be getting one of the best bullpen arms of the free agent pool. Tim Britton of The Athletic reported that it is a two-year contract.

But who exactly is Trevor May? He ‘may’ not be a household name, but the numbers and the stuff are both very, very encouraging.

Mets’ fans should know that, as it happens with lots of relievers these days, May began his career as a starter. He was drafted by the Philadelphia Phillies in 2008, in round four, out of Kelso HS.

May spent four years in the Phillies’ system, but the Minnesota Twins traded center fielder Ben Revere to Philadelphia for Trevor May and fellow righty Vance Worley. He made his major league debut in 2014, pitching 10 games and starting nine.

The new Mets’ hurler underwent Tommy John surgery in March 2017. By that point, he was already a reliever. When he came back in 2018, he started a string of three excellent seasons out of the Twins’ bullpen, with a 3.20 ERA and a 3.08 FIP in 25.1 innings. He had a 12.79 K/9 and a 1.78 BB/9.

The Mets are getting a quality reliever

May produced a sub-3.00 ERA season in 2019, with 2.94 in 64.1 frames. This year, he had a 14.66 K/9, a 3.86 ERA, a 3.62 FIP, 2.74 xFIP. All in all, the new Mets’ signee has a 3.19 ERA since returning from Tommy John.

As you can see, May’s starter pedigree gives him a high floor when it comes to command. And, another positive of having been raised as a starter is his pitch mix. He has three offerings when the majority of relievers only have two.

May throws a high-velocity four-seamer 47.7 percent of the time, per Baseball Savant. It has been rising in velocity for three straight seasons, starting at 94.0 mph in 2018 to 95.5 last year to 96.3 in 2020.

The Mets also love his secondaries: a changeup, and this slider:

All things considered, Trevor May looks like a savvy investment for the New York Mets. He has a bit of a home run problem (1.93 HR/9 in 2020) but he makes it up with his top-notch stuff.

New York Mets to Sign Former Twins Reliever Trevor May

The New York Mets make their first big signing of the offseason by signing reliever Trevor May, pending a physical. After Tommy John Surgery in 2017, May has emerged as one of the best relievers in all of baseball. The new addition will definitely bolster an underachieving Mets bullpen from 2020.

The first three seasons of May’s career were forgetful as he worked mainly as a starting pitcher. May had a 5.14 ERA in just over 200 innings and became a full-time reliever in 2016. Tommy John Surgery was a blessing in disguise as it revived his career once he returned.

Since his return in 2019, May has a 3.18 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, and 153 strikeouts in 113 innings pitched. May comes off a 2020 season where his ERA did not justify how well he pitched at 3.86. He had a tremendous 21.7% HR/FB ratio, 3.62 FIP, 14.7 K/9, and 39.6% strikeout rate.

Where Does He Fit in the Mets Bullpen?

May is another power arm to throw during the late innings. He joins Edwin Diaz, Seth Lugo, and potentially healthy Dellin Betances to shut down games. If the Mets failed to sign any quality starting pitching, May slides right into Lugo’s role while Lugo heads to the rotation.

May relies on a four-pitch arsenal in which he loves to change eye levels to set up his strikeouts. His fastball was thrown 47.7% of the time at an average of 96.7 mph in 2020. This led to a 46.9% whiff rate, 33.9% put away rate because May frequently pitched in the top of the strike zone.

May’s slider and changeup are used down in the zone to opposite sides of the plate. Both sit in the mid to high 80s and have similar whiff rates. The slider is thrown to the outside corner for righties, and the changeup is thrown on the outside part of the plate to lefties. May’s slider has a great vertical break, so it is used 32.6% of the time. The changeup is below average in movement, making sense as to why we see it less than 15% of the time.

This signing is the opening salvo of what looks like an exciting offseason. Mets fans were clamoring for a signing, and now they have their appetizer for the big meal coming up soon.

New York Mets reportedly in “deep talks” with one of the top free agent relievers

The New York Mets‘ bullpen had a disappointing 2020. Dellin Betances didn’t bounce back like the team had envisioned (7.71 ERA and 4.91 FIP in 11.2 innings,) Steven Matz and Robert Gsellman both had an ERA over 9.00, and Seth Lugo, the best reliever in the last few years, had to be moved to the rotation.

New Mets’ owner Steve Cohen and his right hand Sandy Alderson have both said they will spend if it means upgrading the roster, and so far, they have been connected with virtually every major free agent available in the market.

The bullpen should be one of those priorities, and according to a report from MLB.com’s beat writer for the New York Mets Anthony DiComo, they could be close to making the first big splash of their offseason.

The Mets are in advanced talks with top relief arm

Sources are telling DiComo that the Mets are “deep in talks” with free-agent reliever Trevor May. The sportswriter reported that “the former Twin ranked seventh in MLB with 14.66 K/9 this season, to compliment a 3.86 ERA. May has a 3.19 mark since returning from Tommy John surgery in 2018.”

To be clear, DiComo wrote in his Twitter account that it is not a done deal, “but there is smoke,” he said. May, a right-hander, would be a fantastic upgrade to a group that struggled mightly in 2020 and would be an option to set up for closer Edwin Diaz, who did have a bounceback season in the shortened year.

The Mets also need one or two starters, a starting catcher (since they decided not to trigger Wilson Ramos’ club option) bullpen help, and perhaps an outfielder capable of playing center. They have also been connected to George Springer in the last few hours, and they remain a player for both J.T. Realmuto and James McCann. As of now, Tomas Nido sits atop the catching depth chart for the Mets.

New York Yankees News/Rumors: Yankees taking a second look at J.A. Happ, Charlie Morton, Lance Lynn, and Trevor May

New York Yankees, J.A. Happ

For the New York Yankees, General Manager Brian Cashman is really busy this offseason. After another losing postseason for the Yankees and a World Series drought dating back to 2009, the Yankees are scratching their heads on how to fix a team that just can’t seem to get it done. Some say it’s the pitching, and others say it’s the hitting.

For those who say it’s the hitting, there is good evidence that in the 2017 ALCS, the Yankees hit 3.1 runs per game against the cheating Houston Astros. In 2018 against the Red Sox, they hit 3.5 runs per game, and during the ALCS this year against the Rays, the Yankees once again hit only 3.5 runs per game. When the Yankees had their long winning streak this season, they were scoring 5.6 runs per game. However, any team can have hitting droughts, and the Yankee’s misfortune has been timing.

No, it’s not the hitting that has caused the Yankees problems; it is indeed their lack of quality pitching. If you hold your opponent down, you generally can win games. That ability, even when you can’t score many runs, can be the equalizer. To fix that, the Yankees went out and got the best pitcher on the market Gerrit Cole to lead off the rotation. Back in January, the Yankees thought they had their pitching ills solved.

Fast forward to the spring, and everything went south. Co-ace Luis Severino required Tommy John surgery, and when the season was shortened, the Yankees found out they would lose Domingo German, the 2019 winningness Yankee pitcher, not for two months, but for the whole season. Add to that, James Paxton had back surgery, and he would not regain his velocity. So, even with the acquisition of Gerrit Cole, the Yankees were again in a bad place to start the season with only questionable pitching after Cole.

Brian Cashman has some big decisions to make this offseason to get the Yankees back on the winning track. Most observers believe that the Yankees will move for a discounted Masahiro Tanaka and bring him back from free agency. There is even some scuttlebutt out there that says the Yankees may do the same with J.A. Happ. They declined Happ’s option to make $17 million this year. Considering Happ’s performance in 2020, he isn’t worth near that figure. But deep down, the Yankees know he is a fit for New York, and when he has been on, he is lights out. In 2018 he finished the season with seven straight wins. In 2019 he went 12-8, and this season he was second only to Cole in ERA at 3.47.

Assuming the New York Yankees don’t go all-in on Tanaka and or Happ, they do have options with free agents and the trade market. With the Yankees losing more money than any team in baseball last year and wanting to stay below the $210 luxury tax threshold, don’t look for the Yankees to make a big splash by signing a Trevor Bauer, J.T. Realmuto, or a Francisco Lindor. Cashman will try to do his magic, and get some mid-priced help instead, and maybe find another DJ LeMahieu or Gio Urshela.

The Yankees will be taking a long hard look at Charlie Morton of the Rays on target. The Veteran pitcher is 36 years old now; he is as solid as a pitcher as there is out there. He would be mid-priced, and what is particularly attractive to the Yankees in that he is a successful postseason pitcher. They could also take another look at Lance Lynn in a trade with the Texas Rangers. Lynn has pitched in the Bronx before. He would be a solid mid-rotation type pitcher for the Yankees.

A dark horse, the New York Yankees, could explore is Gerrit Richards. Richards is a righty from the San Diego Padres and reestablished himself this year after an injury-plagued 2019 season. He went 2-2 in 10 starts with an ERA of 4.03. He also has frequently pitched in relief. Speaking of relief the Yankees may make a play for Trevor May. May has been a successful reliever for the Minnesota Twins for the last four years. With the Yankees likely wanting to deal away Adam Ottavio, May would be an excellent replacement.

What makes Morton, Lynn, Richards, and May attractive to the Yankees are that they have quality but at the same time are low to mid-budget replacements. The Yankees will be sure to be penny-pinching but will try to get the most for their dollar that they can. The is one thing for sure, is that this will be a really interesting offseason with an active hot stove.