For better, or worse, the New York Mets have depth in their starting rotation. They have a back to back Cy Young winner (deGrom), a Norse god (Syndergaard), a homegrown kid (Matz), a separate Cy Young winner funny bear with a proven track record in the postseason (2013 NLCS MVP Michael Wacha), and a Gold Glove-winning WBC champion/MVP (Stroman).
The only problem is… they all expect to be starters. And there are only 5 in the rotation. So whoâ€™s the odd man out?
Whoâ€™s Likely in the Rotation?
Well, deGrom is coming off of his second consecutive Cy Young season. Heâ€™s not the odd man out. When you look at Porcelloâ€™s career, he has a good to the exceptional season after a bad season consistently. And last year was a bad season. So heâ€™s in.
Stroman did not fare well transitioning from the AL to the NL last year. His ERA, home run per 9, walks per 9, and WHIP all went up. But, heâ€™s still an elite caliber pitcher whoâ€™s in the last year of his contract. The smart move would be to have Stroman as your number 3 starter. Because at the very least, if heâ€™s having a great 2020, but the Mets arenâ€™t, him being in the rotation gives you the opportunity to shop him to a team looking for a second-half rental.
Thor had a good full season, his first since 2016, but he wasnâ€™t great. He seems to fit as a later in the rotation arm, rather than the team’s number 2. Those earned run, and home run totals, coupled with that bloated ERA just isnâ€™t a good look for someone who became the heir apparent to Matt Harveyâ€™s â€œDark Knightâ€ moniker.
Then, you have Rick Porcello, who boasted a 5.52 ERA in 2019, a significant increase from the year before. The Mets are hoping for a bounce-back year, but his numbers have never been considered elite.
In a Fight Between Matz and Wacha, the Winner Is…
Matz should be the 5th guy in the rotation. At the end of the day, Wacha has been hurt an awful lot. He hasnâ€™t thrown a complete season since 2017, his WHIP was over 1.5 last year, and his two home runes/four walks a game… itâ€™s not good enough to be a starter.
Maybe the Mets should just go with a 6 man rotation.