New York Giants: Dave Gettleman’s Future Depends On The 2019 NFL Draft

New York Giants, Dave Gettleman

The 2019 NFL Draft begins this Thursday, April 25. The New York Giants hold the 6th overall pick and the 17th overall pick in the 1st round of the draft. This draft will be crucial for the Giants’ future.

The Giants passed on a quarterback last year. With the 2nd overall pick in the 2018 NFL Draft, the Giants drafted running back Saquon Barkley. Barkley went on to win Offensive Rookie of the Year, however, the Giants have been continuously scrutinized for passing up on a quarterback.

The Giants’ current quarterback, Eli Manning, is 38 years old and well past his prime. The Giants need to find Manning successor as soon as possible in order to be prepared for Manning’s inevitable departure.

For this and many other reasons, the 2019 NFL Draft is crucial for the Giants’ future success. General Manager Dave Gettleman is fully aware of this. Gettleman needs to crush the 2019 NFL Draft in order to secure his future in New York.

Dave Gettleman’s Controversial 2019 Offseason

Dave Gettleman has gotten away with a lot this offseason. He has made multiple moves that have been heavily scrutinized from fans and experts alike. Moves such as trading Odell Beckham Jr. and refusing to franchise tag Landon Collins have brought a lot of controversy to the Giants.

Dave Gettleman needs to make these moves look reasonable with a strong draft in 2019. Collins and Beckham were two young, talented players who made a great impact during their time in New York. Getting rid of these players leaves big shoes to fill on the Giants’ roster, and Dave Gettleman needs to fill those shoes.

If Dave Gettleman does not find solid replacements for Odell and Landon (whether at their positions or elsewhere), he will look like a fool for letting them go. Big losses need to be replaced with big wins. If Dave Gettleman can somehow bring in two superstar players from this year’s draft class, then his past decisions will not look as bad.

One of those two superstar players will need to be on defense. The Giants have holes all over their defense and are in need of an impact player. With the 6th pick, the Giants could look to draft players such as Quinnen Williams, Ed Oliver, Devin White, or Josh Allen. The other superstar player will need to be a quarterback.

The Giants’ Future At Quarterback

General manager Dave Gettleman has been open about his interest in drafting a quarterback. The question is, which quarterback piques Gettleman’s interest? Whatever answer to that question Gettleman comes up with will define his future success with the Giants.

Dave Gettleman has a lot of options at the quarterback position in the 2019 NFL Draft. Kyler Murray is likely to be the 1st overall pick, so the Giants will not have a chance to get him. However, quarterbacks such as Dwayne Haskins, Drew Lock, and Daniel Jones will all be in consideration for the Giants in the 1st round.

If Gettleman drafts a bust at the most important position in the NFL, it will be difficult for the Giants to keep him on the payroll. There is no position more important than the quarterback position, which is why Gettleman needs to make sure he gets the right guy at that position.

Whoever Gettleman drafts at the quarterback position will be expected to start for the Giants for the next 10-15 years. Anything less than a 10-year starter is a disappointment and a failure of a draft pick. The Giants cannot keep a general manager who disappoints and fails at his job.

If Dave Gettleman gets the right man for the quarterback job, he will be admired as a successful manager who set his team up to win for the next decade. That will warrant trusting in Gettleman for the future.

New York Giants: Why Dave Gettleman Is Going To Crush The 2019 NFL Draft

New York Giants, Dave Gettleman

The 2019 NFL Draft is less than one week away. On Thursday, April 25, the New York Giants will be on the clock with the 6th pick in the draft. But their Thursday night will not end there. The Giants also hold the 17th overall pick in the draft.

Many fans are skeptical of Dave Gettleman and his ability to evaluate talent. Gettleman’s main critique is that he does not understand or emphasize positional value. Despite this, there are reasons to believe Dave Gettleman will crush the 2019 NFL Draft.

Gettleman Crushed The 2018 NFL Draft

In 2018, the Giants fired their former general manager Jerry Reese. This was a long-time coming. Many fans were anticipating this moment. Reese’s biggest problem was his inability to draft starting players. So when the Giants fired Jerry Reese, fans were happy.

That was until Dave Gettleman came along. He was not exactly the fan’s choice, but he was the owner’s choice, so here we are one year later praying that they made the right choice.

Dave Gettleman and the Giants had a rocky 2018. They finished a disappointing 5-11 and traded away multiple key players. But with the downside came some strong upside, too.

The Giants had an incredible 2018 NFL Draft. Their 2018 draft class produced three instant starters with the potential for at least one more starter down the road. Gettleman managed this with only 6 total draft picks. Their first selection, Saquon Barkley, won AP Offensive Rookie Of The Year and looks to already be one of the best players in the NFL.

Fans were skeptical of Dave Gettleman prior to the 2018 NFL Draft, but he delivered. Giants fans should be confident that Dave Gettleman will deliver again in the 2019 NFL Draft.

No One Knows The Giants’ Plans

A lot of talk in the media surrounding the Giants has been about Dave Gettleman’s “plans.” No one has any clue what his plan is. Sometimes this can be greatly frustrating and detrimental to the team and fanbase. However, with the NFL Draft, this is a strong positive to pull away from Gettleman.

Over the past week, every single day, a new rumor pops up regarding the Giants’ draft plans. Each new report contradicts the last report. The Giants have done more homework on quarterbacks than any other NFL team, but no one actually knows who their favorite quarterback prospect is.

According to Matt Miller, their favorite quarterback is Dwayne Haskins. According to Charles Robinson, it is Daniel Jones. According to Adam Schefter, it is Josh Rosen. According to Jordan Raanan, it is Drew Lock. And finally, according to Ian Rappoport, it is between Haskins and Jones. No one knows the Giants’ plans and this is exactly the way it should be.

Last year at this time, everyone knew what the Giants were going to do in the draft. We all knew they would draft Saquon Barkley with the 2nd overall pick and we all knew they would go offensive lineman in round 2. This year, we have no clue what they are going to do.

This means that no other team in the NFL knows what the Giants will do either. The Giants are a complete wildcard in this year’s draft. They could go so many different ways with their picks because they have so many of them. The Giants have all of the leverage in the world with teams looking to trade picks or players.

Last year, the Giants had no leverage because everyone knew who they wanted. This year, the Giants could take advantage of other teams. And, most importantly, no one knows who the Giants want, so they will not be desperately trying to trade up ahead of the Giants and take their guy.

New York Giants: Why The Giants Should Trade Up With The Broncos In The Draft

The New York Giants could draft Dwayne Haskins with the 6th overall pick in the 2019 NFL Draft.

The New York Giants are heading into a crucial NFL Draft for the franchise’s future. After passing on a quarterback in 2018, the question is whether or not the Giants draft one in the 2019 NFL Draft. With two 1st-round picks and 12 total picks, the Giants have plenty of options at quarterback.

However, some recent reports seem to suggest that the Giants do not plan on drafting a quarterback with their first draft pick. Rumor has it the Giants will look to get the best defensive player available with the 6th overall pick. Fortunately for the Giants, they also have the 17th overall pick in the 2019 NFL Draft.

This gives the Giants the ability to draft a defender and try to draft their franchise quarterback, too. The only issue is whether or not a quality quarterback will be available for the Giants with the 17th pick. One possibility for the Giants is a potential trade up in the draft to secure their future franchise signal-caller.

The Broncos Are Reportedly Interested In Trading Back

The Denver Broncos hold the 10th overall pick in the 2019 NFL Draft. The Broncos seem to be in full rebuild mode and are looking to stockpile draft picks for the future. This could be the reason for the Broncos to move back in the draft.

According to multiple reports, there is a “growing sense” that the Broncos want to trade back. The Broncos love linebacker prospect Devin White but he is unlikely to still be available when the Broncos are on the clock. Because of this, it might be wise for the Giants to trade back in the NFL Draft.

The Broncos also need a quarterback, but they do not seem to find the need to be as pressing as the Giants do. The Broncos have been mostly linked to Missouri quarterback prospect Drew Lock. If they trade back, there is a chance the Broncos will still be able to draft Lock. Additionally, the Broncos have also reportedly shown interest in Ohio State quarterback prospect Dwayne Haskins.

But if the Broncos decide they prefer Drew Lock to Dwayne Haskins, it might be wise for them to trade back and let someone else have Haskins. Could that someone else be the Giants?

Why The Giants Should Consider Trading Up With The Broncos

The Giants do have a starting quarterback in Eli Manning. However, Manning is a 16-year veteran quarterback nearing the end of his career. The Giants need to prepare themselves for the post-Manning era. This is why they should take a quarterback in the 2019 NFL Draft.

If the Giants have identified Dwayne Haskins as their next franchise quarterback, they will need to trade up for him (if they choose to go defense with the 6th pick). After the 6th pick, there are not any suitors for Haskins until the Broncos at 10.

The Jaguars at 7 have Nick Foles on a massive contract. The Lions at 8 are pleased with Matthew Stafford. And the Bills at 9 drafted their quarterback, Josh Allen, just last year. But, at the 10th pick, the Broncos sit with an aging Joe Flacco at quarterback. Not the ideal situation in 2019.

Despite this, the Broncos are considering trading back. Maybe they do not identify any quarterbacks in this draft class as franchise guys. It is possible they will be looking towards the 2020 NFL Draft or that they will try to trade for Josh Rosen.

Regardless of their reasoning for wanting to trade back, the Giants should pounce on the opportunity to trade up. The Giants will only need to give up their 2nd round pick (and the 17th pick, obviously) in order to move up 7 spots. But, if doing this would allow the Giants to draft their next franchise quarterback, it will be well worth it.

Why The Giants Might Want To Trade Up For Dwayne Haskins

Dwayne Haskins could potentially be that next franchise quarterback for the Giants. In just one year as a starter in college, Haskins broke multiple records on his way to finishing third in the Heisman Trophy voting.

Dwayne Haskins finished his 2018 season with 4831 passing yards, 50 touchdown passes, and only 8 interceptions. His willingness to sit behind Eli Manning will make him an attractive draft target to the Giants. Haskins is a pure, pocket-passing quarterback.

If Dwayne Haskins is able to take some time, learn, and develop, Haskins could be exactly what the Giants are looking for in their next franchise quarterback.

Check out my draft profile on Dwayne Haskins here.

Why The New York Giants Should Be In Love With Josh Rosen

The New York Giants are pondering a change at the quarterback position. A plethora of options is available for the Giants via the draft and trade. The Giants are aware that they need to find Eli Manning’s successor sooner than later. This leaves fans confused by the recent reports that the Giants are not in love with young quarterback Josh Rosen.

Reports have also indicated that the Giants are not interested in the draft’s top quarterbacks such as Kyler Murray and Dwayne Haskins. If the Giants are not interested in any quarterback this offseason, they will have to get really lucky to secure one next offseason. The Giants are in good position to find their guy this offseason. That guy should be Josh Rosen.

The Giants should be in love with Josh Rosen for the following reasons:

The Josh Rosen & Eli Manning Comparison

Josh Rosen is a pure pocket-passing quarterback who stands tall in the pocket and goes through his progressions. Some experts and analysts have compared Rosen to Eli Manning. They have a similar play-style.

Like Manning, Rosen makes plays that are incredible, then follows them up with plays that are terrible. The key is to balance the two and eventually create more incredible plays than terrible plays. Josh Rosen struggled with this in his rookie season with the Arizona Cardinals. But Giants fans need to remember, Eli Manning struggled with this in his rookie season, too.

Eli Manning is not the only quarterback to bounce back after a terrible rookie season. Rams quarterback Jared Goff did the same. After his rookie year, Goff looked like a total bust. Then, the Rams fired their head coach, brought in Sean McVay, and Goff turned into a top 10-15 quarterback in the NFL.

Sometimes, all the quarterback needs is a little change. Josh Rosen was thrown into a terrible situation in his rookie year. He played behind the worst offensive line in the NFL (according to Pro Football Focus), his offensive coordinator was fired mid-season, and his head coach was fired at the end of the season, after just one year with Arizona.

For Josh Rosen, a change of scenery could do wonders for his career. Considering him and Eli Manning have such a similar playstyle, Rosen would reap tremendous benefits from playing and learning with Manning for a year or two.

During the 2018 NFL Combine, Rosen was asked about the possibility of sitting behind Eli Manning. His response proved he was more than willing to do so:

The Trade’s Value

Finding a franchise quarterback is not an easy thing to do. That is why when teams find one, they pay that player more than anyone else on their team. Unfortunately, allocating this much cap space to one player makes it difficult to build the rest of the team. The best teams in the NFL have found a way around this.

NFL teams have been saving their cap space by acquiring a young, talented quarterback on a rookie contract and then building a team around him. Financially, Josh Rosen is the perfect quarterback to build a team around. Over the next 3 years, his total cap hit is only $6.4 million. Paying the league’s most expensive position only $2 million per year is a tremendous value.

On top of that, the team that trades for Rosen will not have to give up too much. The price to pay is a 2nd round pick, plus a future late/mid-round pick. Josh Rosen is a player who had a 1st round grade a year ago, and he can now be acquired for a 2nd round pick.

The Giants have the highest picks out of all the teams interested in Rosen. If the Giants want him, they can get him, and at an amazing value, too.

Josh Rosen Is Still A Good Player Who Has Flashed His Potential

This is the most compelling reason why the Giants should be in love with Josh Rosen. Sure, he had a bad rookie season. Yes, his statistics were terrible. He only threw 11 touchdowns in 13 games but had 14 interceptions. But, statistics never tell the full story.

At the end of the day, NFL scouts watched hours of Josh Rosen’s college game tape and decided he is a 1st round talent. His poor rookie season should not change the Giants’ opinions much from last year. They believed he was worthy of a 1st round pick last year, so why would he not be worth a 2nd round pick this year?

Even though he was playing behind that terrible offensive line and throwing to below-average receivers, Josh Rosen flashed his true potential. When Rosen had time in the pocket and a chance to make a play, he usually capitalized and made the most of the opportunity. Unfortunately, he did not have too many opportunities.

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With Saquon Barkley in the backfield, an improved offensive line, a great offensive mind in Pat Shurmur, and a talented group of playmakers, the Giants could turn Josh Rosen into a superstar.

New York Giants: Olivier Vernon’s Replacement Could Already Be On The Roster

New York Giants, Lorenzo Carter

On Friday, the New York Giants made a big-time trade. The Giants traded edge defender Olivier Vernon to the Browns in exchange for guard Kevin Zeitler. The trade was a win-win for both teams.

The Giants made a major upgrade on their offensive line in this trade. However, the trade also left another giant hole in Big Blue’s defense. Many fans and analysts have been predicting who they think the Giants will sign or draft in order to replace Olivier Vernon.

The Giants will likely sign someone, but there is a talented, young player already on the Giants that most people seem to be forgetting about. In the third round of the 2018 NFL Draft, the Giants selected Lorenzo Carter.

Why Lorenzo Carter Might Breakout In 2019

Lorenzo Carter was a mid-round steal for the Giants in last year’s draft. He was tremendously talented, but he was also a raw prospect that needed time to develop. With his rookie season under his belt, Carter is primed to breakout in his sophomore season.

In his rookie season, Lorenzo showed a lot of potential. His play was limited because the Giants had Vernon, but in 2019, Carter should see more playing time. Carter only started in 2 games in 2018, but he played in 15.

Through those 15 games, Carter totaled 43 tackles and 7 tackles for loss. Carter was also good rushing the passer with 4 sacks and 10 quarterback hits. Considering his minimal playing time, Lorenzo Carter was highly efficient.

According to Pro Football Focus, Lorenzo Carter finished with an overall grade of 65.8. This grade ranked Carter as the 58th edge defender in the NFL, which is not bad for a rookie. On top of that, Carter’s grade was top 5 at his position amongst all rookies in 2018. Carter has the potential to surpass first and second round players with an expanded role in 2019.

Check out some Lorenzo Carter highlights below:

Athletic is an understatement when discussing Lorenzo Carter. He is a super-freak. At last year’s NFL Combine, Carter ran a speedy 4.50 forty-yard dash. That was the second fastest time out of all edge defenders in last year’s draft class.

Fans should not forget about Lorenzo Carter when discussing the Giants’ options on defense. Carter was one of the most hyped mid-round rookies heading into the 2018 season. He deserves even more hype in 2019.

After showing promise in 2018, Carter will have more opportunities in 2019. If he is able to capitalize on these opportunities, Carter will secure the starting edge job for the Giants. Carter, with a bit more consistency, could progress into an elite speed rusher.

New York Giants: Who Will Start At Cornerback In 2019?

The New York Giants need help at the cornerback position. Starting cornerback Janoris Jenkins has regressed significantly over the past two seasons, and the other players on the roster are young and unproven.

The Giants can not call themselves competitors if they trot B.W. Webb back on the field as a starter in 2019. He was the 77th ranked cornerback in 2018 according to Pro Football Focus. Webb might be most remembered as a Giant for almost blowing the game against the Chicago Bears with multiple pass interference penalties and a touchdown given up.

Janoris Jenkins is not even a lock to make the roster. He could become a cap casualty in 2019. He has regressed to an average cornerback since his dominant season in 2016. The Giants might try to make upgrades (as they should), however, there are not a ton of options out there.

Despite all this, the Giants might have two of their starters on their roster already.

Grant Haley

The slot cornerback position seems to be set for the Giants’ future. As an undrafted free agent out of Penn State, Grant Haley played a solid rookie season for the Giants in 2018. Haley actually outplayed Janoris Jenkins in 2018 from a PFF grading standpoint.

In 2018, Grant Haley posted a 69.3 overall Pro Football Focus grade. That was considered an above average grade by PFF. Janoris Jenkins’ grade was only a 68.0 in 2018. Grant Haley was very impressive in the slot in 2018.

Grant Haley played in 10 games in 2018. In those 10 games, Haley was a contributor in run defense with his 33 tackles and 3 tackles for loss. He also added 2 passes defended.

Considering how much Jenkins gets payed, it would be cost efficient for the Giants to cut ties with Janoris and get younger at the cornerback position with Haley and some other young guys.

Sam Beal

Who is Sam Beal? He’s the best prospect to enter the league’s supplemental draft in a long time. Maybe ever. – Matt Miller

Another young guy who has a good chance of starting in 2019 is Sam Beal. Sam was selected by the Giants in the third round of the 2018 supplemental draft. He was not in the 2018 NFL Draft because Beal chose to stay at school and finish earning his degree.

After his junior season, “many NFL evaluators told agents and media members that Beal was likely a top-100 pick.” Beal is a very talented cornerback who had 2 interceptions and 10 passes defended as a junior. He was a highly coveted prospect in the supplemental draft, and the Giants were lucky enough to select him in the third round.

The Giants will be without a third round pick in the 2019 NFL Draft because they selected Beal, however, they are confident he will be worth the pick. With top 100 draft talent, and 1st round projection by some scouts, Sam Beal was an absolute steal for the Giants.

Unfortunately, Sam Beal missed the entire 2018 NFL season with a shoulder injury. But due to the lack of talent at the position for the Giants, Beal will likely be placed into the starting role in 2019. He has great size at 6’1″ and 185 pounds, along with great athleticism like his 4.40s 40-time.

Sam Beal has all the traits necessary to be a great NFL player. If he can remain healthy in 2019, Beal will start for the Giants and could progress into a great cornerstone player for the franchise’s future.

New York Giants Draft: Possible Round 3 Targets

The New York Giants currently hold the No. 66 and No. 69 overall picks in this years draft. The first round was nothing short of exciting, and now the anticipation is building for Day 2 of the NFL Draft.

With these third round picks, the Giants should look for impact players that can help improve the team immediately.

Here is a look who the Giants should target with the Round 3 picks.

Shaquem Griffin, ILB, UCF

Dave Gettleman has said over and over that he wants players that love to play football. If Shaquem Griffin does not love the game of football, then I am not sure who does. By now, most people are aware that Griffin lost his left hand due to a rare prenatal condition.

Some may see his condition as a huge disadvantage, but Griffin has proved all of those doubters wrong. The 2018 Peach Bowl Defensive MVP, shocked everybody in the combine with his speed, athleticism, and the ability to catch the ball. He could help improve the linebacker group immediately, while still learning from some of the current veterans.

Josh Sweat, DE, Florida State

This is where the Giants could attempt to replace Jason Pierre-Paul. Josh Sweat has the physical tools to fit in as a 3-4 linebacker and the raw talent to develop into a quality edge rusher.

Sweat has had some injuries in college, but when fully healthy he has flashed great athletic ability. He is a very coachable player that could fit in perfectly with James Bettcher’s group.

Carlton Davis, CB, Auburn

Drafting Davis would fill a huge need in the secondary for the Giants. He is a big-bodied cornerback with long arms and the raw talent to disrupt passing offsenses. With the proper coaching, he could become a starting corner for an NFL team very quickly.

Carlton Davis would be an immediate upgrade to the Giants secondary, by adding depth and more young talent. He has the luxury of not needing to start right away, though it would not surprise me to see him on the field Week 1.

M.J. Stewart, CB, North Carolina

Another defensive back that would be a solid third round option for the Giants, would provide physicality and versatility that the New York Giants could really benefit from. He is a well-built corner that plays physically in pass defense and run support.

He has the ability to play in multiple positions. He was a full-time starter and cornerback for North Carolina but could transition to a Nickel corner in the NFL and possibly safety as well. He also has the luxury of not needing to start right away, but I am more than confident that James Bettcher would find a key role for Stewart in Big Blue’s defense.

 

 

 

 

 

 

New York Giants: 4 Different Mock Drafts For Each Top Player

If you were to play a couple hands of poker with Dave Gettleman, than chances are he is walking away with your money. We have heard numerous different reports over the last month tying the Giants to Penn State running back Saquan Barkley.

We have also heard that the Giants brass was gushing over Bradley Chubb’s visit to Metlife and were enamored with his dedication, class and professionalism. Don’t forget all of the touch points with the class’ top quarterback prospects and recent reports that Sam Darnold is the “guy” the G-Men covet.

New York Giant fans have been waiting patiently for April 26th to finally begin to see the vision Gettleman has for the Giants. We have been sifting through all of the reports to try and come up with some idea of what DG is thinking but it is to no avail.

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We know as much as we do two months ago and for all intensive purposes, that is exactly the way it should be. Gettleman has played it close to the vest which has led to a ton of speculation and passionate back and forths between Giant faithful. As much as we may differ with our opinions, the one constant is that we all would love to see Big Blue back in contention on a year in year out basis.

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There is not much to do between now and the draft other than speculate and form your own opinion. So, what I did was find a mock draft simulator and I played Dave Gettleman. I conducted multiple mock drafts with different approaches.

The NFL draft is approaching and the New York Giants can go several different directions. You don’t want to miss out on any BREAKING news! Sign up for FREE here.

The process:

I ended up completing four different mocks. I began each mock with a different first round pick based on recent speculation. The only rule I gave myself was that I was not going to draft the same player in any round of the mocks. I do not have any trades in the mocks.

The reasoning:

I simply wanted to give Giant fans a look into what each strategy may look like in order to help guide their opinion.

The Outcome:

Round/Pick Barkley Mock QB Mock Chubb Mock Nelson Mock
1 (2) Saquan Barkley (RB) Josh Rosen (QB) Bradley Chubb (DE) Quenton Nelson (G)
2 (34) Billy Price (C) Sony Michel (RB) Leighton Vander Esch (LB) James Daniels (G)
3 (66) Carlton Davis (CB) Tyrell Crosby (OT) Ronald Jones (RB) Nick Chubb (RB)
3 (69) Justin Reid (S) Lorenzo Carter (LB) Frank Ragnow (G) Luke Falk (QB)
4 (108) Josey Jewell (LB) Duke Dawson (CB) Daesean Hamilton (WR) Michael Gallup (WR)
5 (139) Marcell Ateman (WR) Shaquem Griffin (LB) J.C. Jackson (CB) Michael Dickson (P)

The Interpretation:

After reviewing all of the mocks I would honestly be happy with any of the outcomes. My mindset coming into the draft is that we are getting a great group of young, talented players regardless of which strategy Gettleman and the Giants go with.

If I had to choose which mock I would be most satisfied with I would lean towards is Mock 1 with Saquan Barkley leading the way. It adds a dynamic playmaker with Barkley, solidifies our secondary with a Reid and Davis, and adds another quality offensive lineman. We would also add a wide receiver with good potential and a linebacker that reminds me of Sean Lee. Not a bad haul.

What Will Happen:

Who knows. It could be a combination of the players above. Maybe there are a couple names drafted we did not foreshadow. We may possibly trade the #2 pick for a haul and look to rebuild. Whatever the case may be, we will be getting better and I for one am excited to see who the new Giants will be.

My Perfect Mock (For What It’s Worth)

Pick Player
1 (2) Saquan Barkley (RB)
2 (34) Billy Price (C)
3 (66) Tyrell Crosby (OT)
3 (69) Lorenzo Carter (LB)
4 (108) Duke Dawson (CB)
5 (139) Marcell Ateman (WR)

Ill leave you with this.

For Concerned New York Giants Fans: The History And Success Of A Top 5 Pick

We sit a couple of weeks away from the 2018 NFL draft and there has been quite a bit of speculation surrounding the New York Giants and the number two overall pick.

On one side, we have fans who want to draft the quarterback of the future, whether it be Josh Rosen, Sam Darnold or dare I say Baker Mayfield. On the other hand, we have fans that have been salivating for a talent like Saquan Barkley which should give the Giants a formidable rushing attack that we have been so desperately craving. There is even a contingent of fans who would like to trade back for a haul of picks in order to clean up the lack of depth Jerry Reese left the team with.

There is no clear cut conclusion as to which strategy is right, but one thing everyone can agree on is that the Giants cannot make a mistake.

With so many possibilities at the number two pick I decided to do a little research on the history of top 5 overall picks. In order to do that I compiled all of the top five picks in the last 30 years and broke them down into three categories.

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The categories are as followed:

Superstar career, good career and bust/flop. The things taken into consideration to differentiate the three categories for each career path is longevity, pro bowl appearances, All Pro teams, championships and any individual awards one may have earned throughout the duration of their career.

After compiling that data, I took it a step further and broke it down by position. For example, there were 34 quarterbacks drafted in the top 5 over the last 30 years. 12 of them went on to have superstar careers, 10 had good careers and 12 were busts. Below I will provide you with the chart and breakdown of each position.

Top 5 Draft Pick Data

Positon Superstar Good Bust Total
QB 12-35% 10-29% 12-35% 34
RB 8-44% 3-17% 7-39% 18
WR 5-36% 4-29% 5-36% 14
OL 10-48% 5-24% 6-29% 21
DE 8-42% 2-11% 9-47% 19
DT 4-33% 6-50% 2-17% 12

 

Based off of draft history, the quarterback position is the one that has been chosen the most in the top five over the last 30 years and rightfully so (it is the most important). It is then followed by offensive line, defensive end and running back (strangely enough every position the Giants need).

If you look at the highest probability of drafting a superstar than the odds are in the favor of an offensive lineman and running back. If you want to draft safe, the position with the lowest bust potential is a defensive tackle and offensive line.

Biggest bust potential would be a defensive end and running back. Based off of this information, the smartest thing for the Giants to do is draft Quentin Nelson at 2 right? Well, not so fast.

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My Take

After analyzing 30 years of NFL drafts and top 5 picks it is clear that nothing is clear. There is no perfect draft strategy, there is no sure thing and there is no telling the future. By now I am sure you have seen a couple hundred different mock drafts.

You have heard numerous analysts talk about each prospect and how they project to the pros. You have been told who to be weary of and who to be excited about. Well, they are all educated guesses. Some obviously more educated than others but guesses nonetheless.

However, there is one particular set of data that all fans need to be aware of and that has to do with quarterbacks who are drafted in the top 5. This is for all the fans adamant about a quarterback at 2.

  1. 16 of the quarterbacks drafted in the top 5 had a winning record, 17 had a losing record, 1 drew even.
  2. Quarterbacks drafted in the top 5 over the past 30 years averaged 51.1 wins for their career and 47.9 losses.
  3. Teams who drafted a quarterback who was a bust averaged a 5-11 record for 3 seasons following the draft. (It can set you back for years)
  4. Only three won the Super Bowl as a starting quarterback. (Manning, Manning, Aikman)

It is very enticing for a team to draft their quarterback of the future, but it does not always mean success.

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So What to Do?

The NFL draft is all about value and probabilities. There are so many different aspects of drafting that we often look past such as positional value, offensive and defensive scheme fits, roster composition, ect.

It is more than okay to have a favorite prospect that you want your team to draft. Just know that their is a decent chance that player may not turn out to be the player you thought they would. Now, let us take a step back and follow these simple instructions to ensure a pleasant draft experience.

Guide to Relieving Stress and Enjoying the Draft

  1. While keeping your opinions, stop bickering in a disrespectful manner about which player you think the team can draft.  
  2. Stop telling everyone else who disagrees with your opinions that they are flat out, undeniably wrong.
  3. Enjoy the process.
  4. Enjoy the excitement that comes with your favorite franchise drafting a hopeful up and coming star.
  5. Don’t be disappointed the player you want was not taken by your team. The player chosen may be better than who you wanted (remember, there were Colt fans who wanted Ryan Leaf).
  6. On April 26th at 8PM, grab a snack, a drink of choice, your favorite spot on the couch to sit back and watch a lot of young men’s lives change for the better.

Oh and why not..……… I would take Saquan Bakley with the number 2 overall pick.

Bringing Back The Tradition Of Great New York Giants Running Backs

Tiki Barber, Brandon Jacobs, Ahmad Bradshaw…

A few names to consider when thinking of good New York Giants Running Backs. Lately though in the horrible Mcadoo era, the position has been modestly ignored except for the drafting of Wayne Gallman out of Clemson in the 4th round –110th overall.

Gallman had decent stats starting late in the year. He rushed for 476 yards and caught one touchdown. Running Backs that can create balance were essential keys when the New York Giants and Eli Manning won both of their infamous Super Bowls.

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The next Giant Running Back?

There is a possibility with the 2nd pick in the 2018 NFL Draft the New York Giants could select Saquon Barkley out of Penn State.

Barkley essentially showed at the combine that he was the all-around most tantilizing back potentially in the last decade. He recorded insane numbers: Official 4.40 in the 40-yard dash at 233-pounds which was outrageous, and that came after 29 bench press reps the day before.

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Barkley also clocked a 4.24 time in the short-shuttle drill, which was the eighth-fastest among running backs in attendance. Barkley has shown he can be the first top three running back pick since Reggie Bush in the 2006 NFL Draft.

Barkley could greatly help Eli Manning to bounce back and create balance the New York Giants offense hasn’t had in a long time. The Penn State phenom has lightning quick speed, and can catch the ball out of the backfield, and can block.

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There’s no doubt that Barkley could bring back the days if Tiki Barber or Brandon Jacobs and Ahmad Bradshaw. He packs a punch, he’s quick, agile, powerful and intelligent. An offense with Barkley, Odell Beckham Jr., Sterling Shepard and Evan Engram would be lethal against any defense in the league.

-Davis Webb

-Saquon Barkley

-Odell Beckham Jr.

-Sterling Shepard

-Evan Engram

-Nate Solder

These core players could easily be successful in the current day NFL. Having a polarizing running back and stellar left tackle is a successful formula alone, and adding a generational wide receiver to the mix only improves those odds.