Yankees’ $162 Million Investment: Unpacking the Lackluster Returns

MLB: New York Yankees at Los Angeles Angels, carlos rodon
Credit: Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports

When the Yankees signed Carlos Rodon to a hefty $162 million contract over six years during the 2022 offseason, expectations were high. Coming off impressive stints with the Chicago White Sox and San Francisco Giants, where he maintained an ERA under 2.90, Rodon was poised to be a formidable number-two starter behind Gerrit Cole. However, his tenure with the Yankees has not gone as planned.

Yankees’ High Hopes for Carlos Rodon Fall Short

In his inaugural season with the Yankees, Rodon only managed to pitch 64.1 innings with a disappointing 6.85 ERA and a 5.79 FIP, raising concerns about his durability and effectiveness. Despite hopes for a rebound, the 2024 season has continued in a similar vein without the shield of injury excuses. Rodon has already pitched 107 innings but with underwhelming results, recording a 4.63 ERA and a 4.68 FIP. His performance marks him as the team’s least effective starting pitcher this season.

MLB: New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles, carlos rodon
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Analyzing Rodon’s Pitching Woes

A major issue for Rodon has been his fastball, which has become a significant liability. After predominantly using his four-seamer over 60% of the time last season, he has reduced its usage to 49.6% with an average velocity of 95.5 mph. Despite solid velocity, Rodon’s poor location has led to opposing batters hitting .261 against it, with a .531 slugging rate and a .604 expected slugging rate. This has forced him to depend more on his secondary pitches, particularly his slider.

His slider, which he has used 26.5% of the time this season, has been more effective, yielding a .237 batting average against and a .186 expected batting average. Rodon may need to consider increasing the use of his changeup, another effective pitch with a .171 batting average against, to compensate for his fastball issues.

Potential Adjustments and Future Outlook

The second half of the season is critical for Rodon to make necessary adjustments and improve his performance. Regaining accuracy with his fastball could be key to fulfilling the expectations of his contract. Until then, the Yankees face a dilemma about relying on him as a top pitcher, especially during crucial playoff games.

MLB: Oakland Athletics at New York Yankees, carlos rodon
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Yankees Exploring Additional Pitching Options

As the trade deadline approaches, the Yankees are reportedly exploring options to bolster their starting rotation. They have been linked with Garrett Crochet of the Chicago White Sox, a proven ace who could significantly enhance their pitching staff. Pursuing Crochet might involve tough decisions, such as potentially trading away Spencer Jones, a promising prospect with a high ceiling.

Ultimately, the Yankees must navigate Rodon’s ongoing struggles while considering strategic moves to ensure their roster is competitive enough for a deep postseason run.

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