The New York Mets head into the winter with a long checklist, but two names tower over the rest. Pete Alonso and Edwin Diaz aren’t just free agents; they’re franchise-defining decisions. And as much as the Mets would love to script a clean, drama-free path to keeping both stars, the reality is already proving much more complicated.

Team president David Stearns has made it clear he wants both players back, and the players have said the right things too. Everyone agrees in principle. But until those intentions show up on paperwork, the uncertainty hangs over the Mets like a stubborn cloud.

Diaz’s Free Agency Gets Real

What stood out this week was how blunt Edwin Diaz was when discussing his future. The All-Star reliever didn’t posture or throw vague hints. He simply said he wants to return to the New York Mets, but he also put the odds at 50-50. That’s honesty, and it’s also a reminder that players only get so many chances to shape their careers on their own terms.

Diaz made it clear he will listen to other teams if the situation benefits him and his family. That might sound obvious, but it carries weight because it tells you he isn’t signing on sentiment alone. He wants a chance to fight for a World Series, and he wants stability. If the Mets can meet both needs, great. If another team does it better, he’ll have a real decision to make.

Jun 14, 2024; New York City, New York, USA; New York Mets pitcher Edwin Diaz (39) reacts to striking out the last batter during the ninth inning against the San Diego Padres at Citi Field. Mandatory Credit: Gregory Fisher-USA TODAY Sports
Credit: Gregory Fisher-USA TODAY Sports

And it’s not like he’s hitting the market on a down note. Diaz battled through a shaky opening chapter in 2025, then flipped the script and dominated. Ninety-eight strikeouts, a 1.63 ERA, and 28 saves are the kind of numbers that get general managers leaning forward in their chairs. A 2.0 fWAR season from a reliever doesn’t happen by accident, and it certainly doesn’t go unnoticed.

A Contract That Will Test the Mets’ Nerves

The problem, of course, is that production like this costs money. A four- or five-year deal at over $20 million per season is the likely range for Diaz. For the New York Mets, that’s the type of contract you sign because you want to win now, fully aware that the final year or two may sting a bit. It’s the same calculation contenders make every offseason, and it’s the kind of gamble an ambitious front office eventually has to take.

May 18, 2024; Miami, Florida, USA;  New York Mets relief pitcher Edwin Diaz (39) reacts as he leaves the mound after giving up four runs against the Miami Marlins in the ninth inning at loanDepot Park. Mandatory Credit: Rhona Wise-USA TODAY Sports
Credit: Rhona Wise-USA TODAY Sports

Stearns knows that losing Diaz would create a massive hole in the bullpen, one that isn’t easily rebuilt through bargain hunting. But he also knows the Mets have rotation holes to fill, payroll commitments to weigh, and another high-stakes negotiation with Alonso looming. None of this is happening in a vacuum.

A Winter With No Easy Answers

What makes this offseason so interesting for the New York Mets is the contrast between intention and reality. Everyone says they want the same thing. Everyone wants to stay together. Yet the market, the timing, and the financial landscape don’t always cooperate with well-meaning statements.

For Diaz, the door is open. For the Mets, the pressure is rising. And for fans, the waiting begins. Will this winter end with both stars returning, or is someone headed for a new uniform in 2026?

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